Linfield vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
COL
2 - 3
LIN
22%
25%
54%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
POR
2 - 1
LIN
28%
25%
47%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LIN
7 - 0
ARC
80%
14%
7%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
LIN
6 - 0
DUN
74%
18%
9%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 0
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
GLE
4 - 1
POR
77%
15%
9%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
GLE
1 - 3
GLE
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
CRU
1 - 1
GLE
50%
23%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
GLE
1 - 4
GLE
29%
23%
48%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 5
GLE
18%
22%
61%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |