Linfield vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
LIN
6 - 0
BAL
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 2
BAL
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
CLI
1 - 0
LIN
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
LIN
3 - 3
ARD
78%
15%
7%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 2
LIN
28%
24%
48%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
GLE
4 - 2
POR
44%
24%
33%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
GLE
3 - 1
ARD
78%
14%
9%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 2
GLE
32%
25%
44%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
GLE
2 - 3
GLE
39%
25%
36%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
GLE
7 - 0
SYL
84%
11%
5%
|
59 | 29 | 30 | 0 |