UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 1-8
Linfield vs FK Bodo Glimt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
61%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
HAR
1 - 8
LIN
14%
20%
66%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
LIN
2 - 0
TNS
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
KNO
1 - 2
LIN
10%
18%
72%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
TNS
1 - 0
LIN
52%
22%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 2
STM
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FK Bodo Glimt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
HAM
0 - 2
BOG
20%
23%
57%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
KLA
3 - 1
BOG
16%
21%
63%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
BOG
4 - 1
S08
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
BOG
3 - 0
KLA
73%
16%
12%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
ODD
3 - 2
BOG
20%
23%
57%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |