Irish Cup Northern Ireland Last 16
Global 4-1
Linfield vs Dunmurry Recreation analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.2%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
3.3%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 1
NEW
78%
16%
7%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
DRF
1 - 1
LIN
7%
13%
81%
|
73 | 14 | 59 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 4
LIN
27%
24%
49%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 0
BAL
71%
19%
11%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 0
GLE
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Dunmurry Recreation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
DRF
1 - 1
LIN
7%
13%
81%
|
14 | 73 | 59 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
KRF
0 - 5
DRF
58%
21%
21%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
DRF
2 - 2
KRF
36%
24%
41%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
INS
6 - 0
DRF
78%
15%
8%
|
12 | 59 | 47 | 0 |