Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.4%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.1%
3-0
15%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.1%
3.5%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
LAR
3 - 1
LIN
35%
26%
40%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
LIN
2 - 0
CLI
70%
19%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
WAR
2 - 1
LIN
7%
18%
75%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
LIN
3 - 3
GLE
68%
20%
13%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
LIN
2 - 0
GLE
76%
16%
9%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
DUN
1 - 5
BAL
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
DUN
0 - 3
POR
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
DUN
2 - 0
COL
13%
21%
65%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
GLE
5 - 1
DUN
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
CRU
3 - 1
DUN
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |