Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
WAR
1 - 3
LIN
22%
24%
54%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
LIN
1 - 0
NEW
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
COL
2 - 2
LIN
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 2
LIN
46%
24%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 3
GLE
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
GLE
3 - 0
DUN
78%
14%
8%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
DUN
2 - 1
CRU
15%
18%
67%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 0
ARD
47%
24%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
CLI
3 - 0
DUN
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 1
COL
27%
27%
47%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |