Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 3
LIN
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
LIN
4 - 0
BAL
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 3
TNV
37%
26%
38%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
TNV
2 - 1
LIN
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
NSI
4 - 3
LIN
40%
24%
36%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 0
DUN
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 2
CAR
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 0
ARD
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 0
DUN
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 1
INS
64%
21%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |