Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
6.9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
GLE
1 - 2
LIN
41%
24%
35%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 2
CRU
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 3
CLI
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
LIN
3 - 1
INS
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
LIN
3 - 2
BAL
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
DUN
1 - 3
CLI
14%
21%
64%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
INS
1 - 1
DUN
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 0
DUN
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 2
DUN
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
DUN
3 - 0
ARD
51%
24%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |