Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
POR
1 - 2
LIN
36%
26%
39%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
GLE
0 - 1
LIN
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
LIN
2 - 1
GLE
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
LIN
6 - 0
BAL
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 2
BAL
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GLE
3 - 2
DUN
73%
16%
11%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
4 - 1
DUN
64%
20%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
DUN
1 - 2
CLI
17%
22%
61%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
DUN
0 - 2
COL
48%
25%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
WAR
0 - 1
DUN
41%
25%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |