Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
COL
1 - 3
LIN
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
LIS
0 - 5
LIN
15%
22%
62%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
LIN
5 - 0
NEW
66%
21%
14%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
GLE
2 - 2
LIN
44%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
DON
0 - 4
LIN
23%
22%
55%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
INS
2 - 0
DUN
34%
28%
39%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
DUN
4 - 4
POR
39%
24%
38%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
COL
2 - 0
DUN
61%
21%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
CRU
2 - 3
DUN
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
LIS
2 - 5
DUN
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |