Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
GLE
0 - 1
LIN
21%
21%
58%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
DUN
0 - 1
LIN
36%
23%
40%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
LIN
5 - 1
BAL
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2007 |
ELF
1 - 0
LIN
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2007 |
LIN
0 - 0
ELF
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2007 |
BAL
0 - 1
DUN
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
DUN
0 - 1
LIN
36%
23%
40%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
GLE
3 - 2
DUN
34%
25%
41%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2007 |
SUD
4 - 0
DUN
61%
22%
18%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2007 |
DUN
1 - 0
SUD
43%
24%
33%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |