Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
BAL
0 - 0
LIN
31%
25%
44%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
LIN
5 - 3
ARC
81%
13%
6%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
POR
1 - 2
LIN
43%
24%
33%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2006 |
LIN
2 - 0
DUN
61%
20%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
LIM
0 - 4
LIN
24%
23%
53%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
DUN
3 - 2
CLI
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
CRU
2 - 1
DUN
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
DUN
2 - 4
GLE
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2006 |
LIN
2 - 0
DUN
61%
20%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
GLE
1 - 2
DUN
27%
25%
48%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |