Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
85
1º
1º
1º
54
5º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
85 | 9 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 9 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 7 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 6 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
54 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2025 |
DUN
0 - 3
LIN
48%
24%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
LIN
2 - 0
GLE
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
CRU
0 - 2
LIN
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
LIN
0 - 2
COL
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
LIN
1 - 0
LOU
58%
22%
19%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
GLE
0 - 1
CRU
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
CRU
1 - 1
LOU
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
CRU
0 - 2
LIN
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
CRU
1 - 2
CLI
46%
23%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
GLE
0 - 1
CRU
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |