Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
4º
2º
55
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 2
LIN
25%
22%
53%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
LOU
1 - 2
LIN
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
LIN
4 - 2
WAR
76%
15%
9%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
CRU
0 - 1
LIN
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
LAR
1 - 1
LIN
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
CRU
0 - 2
LAR
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
CRU
1 - 1
ARD
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
CRU
0 - 1
LIN
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 0
CAR
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
CLI
2 - 1
CRU
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |