Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
LIN
0 - 2
ZUR
28%
23%
48%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
BOG
8 - 0
LIN
73%
16%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
LOU
0 - 2
LIN
21%
22%
58%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 0
BOG
17%
22%
61%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
HAR
1 - 8
LIN
14%
20%
66%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
KNO
2 - 4
CRU
8%
15%
77%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
CRU
1 - 1
BAS
24%
24%
52%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 0
CRU
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
CRU
3 - 1
MAG
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
MAG
2 - 1
CRU
33%
23%
44%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |