Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 2
LIN
37%
26%
38%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 2
LIN
14%
22%
64%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 0
POR
78%
15%
7%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
GLE
1 - 0
LIN
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
LIN
2 - 1
LAR
39%
26%
36%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
CRU
1 - 0
COL
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CRU
4 - 2
DUN
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CLI
3 - 1
CRU
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CRU
2 - 1
CAR
77%
17%
7%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
CRU
0 - 0
GLE
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |