Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BAL
2 - 3
LIN
16%
23%
61%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
LIN
5 - 1
CAR
81%
14%
6%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
LIN
6 - 0
PSN
88%
9%
3%
|
78 | 38 | 40 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
LIN
0 - 1
FLO
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2020 |
WAR
1 - 0
LIN
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
CRU
1 - 0
CLI
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
WAR
0 - 1
CRU
9%
17%
75%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
CRU
2 - 0
BAL
72%
17%
11%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
CRU
2 - 0
QUB
82%
12%
5%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
CRU
0 - 0
DUN
81%
13%
6%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |