Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
35.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
POR
1 - 2
LIN
11%
17%
72%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 1
LIN
35%
25%
41%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
LIN
4 - 2
CLI
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
INS
1 - 4
LIN
14%
23%
63%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
LIN
1 - 2
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
GLE
2 - 2
CRU
10%
18%
72%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CRU
3 - 2
INS
76%
16%
9%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
CRU
3 - 0
GLE
47%
24%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
GLE
2 - 4
CRU
14%
18%
68%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
ARD
0 - 1
CRU
12%
18%
70%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | +1 |