Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
32.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
LIN
4 - 2
GLE
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 2
LIN
8%
20%
73%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
CRU
0 - 1
LIN
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
LIN
4 - 0
WAR
77%
16%
8%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
LIN
1 - 0
BAL
81%
13%
6%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
INS
1 - 3
CRU
9%
17%
74%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
CRU
0 - 1
LIN
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 1
CRU
7%
15%
78%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
CRU
4 - 1
GLE
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
CRU
3 - 2
BAL
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |