Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
COL
2 - 1
LIN
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
DUN
1 - 0
LIN
33%
24%
43%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 3
LIN
8%
15%
77%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CLI
3 - 2
LIN
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
WAR
1 - 4
LIN
24%
25%
51%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
CRU
3 - 2
COL
54%
23%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CRU
2 - 3
GLE
47%
24%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
COV
0 - 3
CRU
16%
18%
65%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
GLE
0 - 3
CRU
23%
26%
51%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
CRU
1 - 1
DUN
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |