Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
COL
1 - 1
LIN
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
CLI
2 - 1
LIN
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
LIN
4 - 0
BAL
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
BAL
4 - 1
LIN
27%
22%
51%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
QOS
2 - 0
LIN
23%
23%
55%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CRU
3 - 1
CAR
82%
13%
6%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 1
CRU
31%
24%
45%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
POR
3 - 4
CRU
13%
17%
70%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CRU
4 - 3
CLI
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CRU
5 - 1
BAL
78%
15%
8%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |