Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
DUN
0 - 1
LIN
15%
22%
64%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 1
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
WAR
0 - 3
LIN
14%
21%
65%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
LIN
0 - 1
BAL
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 1
GLE
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
POR
1 - 3
CRU
28%
25%
48%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
CRU
1 - 0
GLE
59%
21%
21%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 1
CRU
13%
21%
67%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
CRU
3 - 4
INS
86%
10%
4%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CRU
1 - 0
WAR
84%
11%
5%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |