Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 3
CLI
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
LIN
3 - 1
INS
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
LIN
3 - 2
BAL
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
CRU
2 - 2
LIN
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 3
LIN
15%
22%
63%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CRU
1 - 4
GLE
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
GLE
1 - 3
CRU
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
CRU
3 - 2
COL
75%
16%
10%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
CRU
0 - 1
CLI
49%
24%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
CRU
2 - 2
LIN
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |