Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
LIN
5 - 0
DER
81%
14%
6%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
WAR
2 - 3
LIN
15%
22%
63%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
GLE
1 - 2
LIN
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LIN
3 - 2
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
LIN
3 - 0
BAL
71%
19%
11%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CRU
2 - 1
CSF
91%
7%
2%
|
73 | 37 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
CRU
5 - 1
DUN
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
CRU
33%
26%
42%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
CRU
1 - 1
CLI
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 0
CRU
25%
24%
52%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |