Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
32.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
LIN
5 - 1
WAR
74%
18%
8%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
LIN
5 - 2
ARD
70%
20%
10%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 4
LIN
22%
24%
55%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
LIN
0 - 0
CRU
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
LIN
2 - 0
DUN
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
GLE
2 - 2
CRU
31%
24%
45%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
POR
0 - 1
CRU
34%
25%
41%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
CRU
2 - 0
WAR
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
LIN
0 - 0
CRU
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
CRU
4 - 2
ARD
78%
15%
7%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |