Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 2
LIN
16%
22%
62%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 3
LIN
21%
23%
56%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 1
GLE
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
DUN
1 - 4
LIN
25%
25%
51%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
LIN
5 - 0
DON
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 2
CRU
28%
25%
47%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
CRU
1 - 2
DON
80%
13%
6%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
CRU
1 - 1
COL
69%
19%
13%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 3
CRU
20%
24%
56%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
CRU
20%
23%
58%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |