Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2010 |
DON
2 - 0
LIN
16%
22%
63%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2010 |
CLI
3 - 1
LIN
32%
27%
42%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
LIS
0 - 4
LIN
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
LIN
1 - 0
DUN
71%
19%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
CRU
2 - 1
LIN
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
CRU
2 - 2
DUN
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2010 |
CLI
2 - 1
CRU
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
CRU
3 - 1
POR
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
BAL
1 - 1
CRU
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
GLE
2 - 1
CRU
25%
24%
51%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |