Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
20.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
LIN
4 - 0
NEW
70%
19%
10%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
COL
0 - 2
LIN
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
DON
1 - 3
LIN
23%
24%
53%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
LIN
4 - 0
POR
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2010 |
GLE
0 - 0
LIN
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
CRU
4 - 5
DON
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
LIS
2 - 4
CRU
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
NEW
1 - 1
CRU
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
CRU
1 - 0
GLE
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
POR
0 - 2
CRU
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |