Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
GLE
1 - 0
LIN
47%
24%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
LIN
3 - 2
GLE
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
NEW
0 - 3
LIN
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
INS
0 - 1
LIN
21%
23%
56%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2007 |
LIN
4 - 0
COL
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
CRU
1 - 1
CLI
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
LIM
1 - 2
CRU
38%
26%
37%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
GLE
3 - 0
CRU
66%
21%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2007 |
CRU
2 - 1
GLE
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
NEW
1 - 1
CRU
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |