Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2004 |
LIM
0 - 2
LIN
20%
23%
57%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
LIN
3 - 0
LIS
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
BAL
0 - 0
LIN
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2004 |
LIN
2 - 2
ARD
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
LIN
3 - 1
GLE
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
CRU
0 - 1
LIS
32%
27%
42%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
CRU
2 - 0
LIM
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
CRU
0 - 0
ARD
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
CRU
0 - 0
BAL
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
GLE
2 - 1
CRU
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |