Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
LIN
0 - 0
GLE
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
LIN
2 - 0
CLI
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
POR
1 - 2
LIN
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
COL
1 - 0
LIN
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
NEW
0 - 2
LIN
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
CRU
3 - 4
GLE
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
OMA
2 - 2
CRU
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
COL
1 - 0
CRU
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
CRU
1 - 3
CLI
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
POR
4 - 1
CRU
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |