Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1999 |
GLE
0 - 0
LIN
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
CLI
0 - 1
LIN
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
LIN
3 - 1
NEW
54%
24%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1999 |
CRU
1 - 1
LIN
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
POR
1 - 1
LIN
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
CRU
3 - 1
GLE
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
BAL
1 - 1
CRU
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1999 |
CRU
1 - 1
LIN
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
LIS
2 - 2
CRU
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
CRU
1 - 0
GLE
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |