Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1997 |
POR
0 - 2
LIN
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1996 |
LIN
0 - 0
GLE
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1996 |
CLI
2 - 4
LIN
41%
28%
32%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
GLE
2 - 1
LIN
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
CRU
0 - 1
LIN
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1997 |
CRU
1 - 0
GLE
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1997 |
POR
0 - 2
CRU
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1996 |
CRU
1 - 1
COL
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1996 |
GLE
1 - 1
CRU
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1996 |
CRU
2 - 1
CLI
68%
19%
12%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |