Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
GLE
2 - 2
LIN
66%
20%
15%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1996 |
LIN
0 - 0
ARD
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1995 |
GLE
0 - 3
LIN
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
LIN
1 - 0
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1995 |
CLI
1 - 1
LIN
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
CRU
1 - 3
GLE
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1996 |
CRU
3 - 1
POR
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1995 |
CLI
1 - 4
CRU
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
CRU
2 - 0
BAN
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1995 |
CRU
1 - 2
ARD
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |