Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
GLE
0 - 3
LIN
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1995 |
GLE
2 - 2
LIN
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1995 |
LIN
2 - 2
POR
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1995 |
LIS
1 - 1
LIN
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1995 |
LIN
1 - 2
COL
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
CRU
2 - 1
GLE
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1995 |
SIF
4 - 0
CRU
69%
18%
14%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 1995 |
CRU
1 - 2
SIF
44%
23%
33%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1995 |
CLI
2 - 2
CRU
53%
24%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1995 |
CRU
1 - 2
GLE
55%
24%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |