Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1995 |
BAN
0 - 0
LIN
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1995 |
LIN
3 - 0
BAL
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1995 |
LIN
1 - 1
OMA
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
LAR
0 - 4
LIN
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
BAL
2 - 1
LIN
41%
28%
32%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1995 |
POR
0 - 1
CRU
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1995 |
LIS
0 - 3
CRU
50%
24%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
CRU
4 - 0
NEW
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
COL
0 - 1
CRU
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1995 |
CRU
1 - 0
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |