Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 1-2
Linfield vs Cork City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
GLE
2 - 0
LIN
48%
22%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
GLE
0 - 1
LIN
52%
23%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LIN
4 - 0
CLI
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
GLE
0 - 4
LIN
30%
27%
44%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LIN
3 - 0
COL
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cork City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
SHR
0 - 0
CAO
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
CAO
1 - 0
DUN
47%
24%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
LON
0 - 3
CAO
19%
26%
55%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
CAO
4 - 0
STP
92%
7%
2%
|
78 | 12 | 66 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
CAO
2 - 1
DER
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |