Linfield vs Cliftonville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
5º
2º
66
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LAR
1 - 1
LIN
41%
25%
35%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
POR
1 - 6
LIN
7%
19%
75%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 0
LIN
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 0
BAL
58%
24%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 6
LIN
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CLI
2 - 2
COL
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CLI
4 - 0
BAL
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 3
CLI
29%
26%
46%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CLI
2 - 2
COL
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 3
CLI
12%
22%
66%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |