UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 1-3
Linfield vs BATE Borisov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
CRU
1 - 2
LIN
45%
22%
33%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 0
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
LIS
0 - 4
LIN
23%
24%
53%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 0
CLI
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
LIN
3 - 2
GLE
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
TOR
0 - 3
BAT
25%
27%
48%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
BAT
2 - 0
DIN
68%
21%
12%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
BAT
2 - 2
SHA
48%
26%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2011 |
DNM
2 - 0
BAT
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
BAT
5 - 0
DNP
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |