RB Linense vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Linense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 1
BAL
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
CRD
2 - 0
BAL
39%
27%
34%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
BAL
2 - 2
PAL
54%
26%
21%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
BAL
1 - 1
JER
64%
23%
13%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
AYA
0 - 0
BAL
38%
28%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
LUC
0 - 0
PAL
45%
27%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
JER
2 - 1
LUC
32%
28%
40%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
LUC
1 - 0
AYA
49%
27%
24%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
LUC
2 - 0
SAN
43%
27%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
ARC
0 - 0
LUC
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |