RB Linense vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Linense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
BAL
18%
23%
59%
|
57 | 29 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 0
LUC
41%
28%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ECI
1 - 0
BAL
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 0
ALB
35%
29%
36%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CPC
1 - 1
BAL
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
ARR
1 - 0
CDG
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
ARR
0 - 0
UCA
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
BET
1 - 1
ARR
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 2
VIL
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
ARR
64%
21%
16%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |