Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 2-3
Lincoln Red Imps vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
24.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln Red Imps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
TNS
2 - 1
LRI
37%
21%
42%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
LRI
1 - 4
FCD
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
FIO
0 - 2
LRI
36%
22%
43%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
LRI
0 - 3
JOS
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
MON
0 - 6
LRI
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
TNS
2 - 1
LRI
37%
21%
42%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
TNS
4 - 0
SHK
45%
22%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
SHK
5 - 0
TNS
46%
22%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
TNS
2 - 0
FAL
67%
18%
15%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
TNS
3 - 3
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |