UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 1-3
Lincoln Red Imps vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
36.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln Red Imps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
LRI
2 - 0
FLO
46%
22%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
FLO
2 - 1
LRI
44%
23%
34%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
LRI
2 - 0
CEU
54%
21%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LRI
6 - 2
MAN
66%
18%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
JOS
0 - 3
LRI
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
CEL
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 2
CEL
36%
25%
38%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
STU
0 - 1
CEL
7%
14%
80%
|
83 | 44 | 39 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
CEL
2 - 2
CEL
27%
25%
47%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CEL
7 - 0
MHE
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |