Lincoln Red Imps vs Britannia XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln Red Imps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 4
LRI
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LRI
5 - 0
ANG
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
JOS
0 - 2
LRI
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
LRI
4 - 0
LYN
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
GLA
1 - 6
LRI
15%
22%
63%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Britannia XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 4
CEU
23%
25%
52%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2015 |
BRI
0 - 4
LIO
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 2
BRI
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BRI
3 - 1
ANG
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
JOS
1 - 1
BRI
73%
18%
10%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +2 |