Lincoln City vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 0
LIN
37%
26%
36%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 2
LIN
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LIN
0 - 1
IPS
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
LIN
1 - 1
ROT
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 5
LIN
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
PLY
1 - 1
CRE
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
PLY
2 - 1
DON
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
OPA
2 - 2
PLY
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 1
PLY
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
PLY
3 - 0
SHW
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +2 |