Limonest vs Lyon-Duchère analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
70.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
8º
8º
47
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Limonest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 0
LIM
50%
22%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
LIM
0 - 0
DOM
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LIM
1 - 0
HAL
55%
22%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LIM
1 - 1
ESM
79%
14%
8%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FEU
1 - 3
LIM
29%
24%
48%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
LYO
0 - 0
ESM
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 17 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
LYO
4 - 1
BAS
11%
18%
71%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FEU
2 - 3
LYO
8%
17%
76%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LYO
1 - 1
CDE
85%
11%
5%
|
50 | 13 | 37 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SAE
0 - 1
LYO
15%
21%
64%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |