Lime Hotspurs vs Red Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
18.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lime Hotspurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 1
LIM
43%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
LIM
1 - 2
FOR
52%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
LIM
0 - 1
ROA
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
KON
0 - 2
LIM
42%
27%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
KAL
1 - 5
LIM
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
RED
1 - 1
ROA
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
KON
1 - 0
RED
48%
29%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
RED
3 - 0
KAL
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
NKA
0 - 2
RED
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
EAG
0 - 0
RED
56%
25%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |