Limavady vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Limavady
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
BRF
3 - 4
LIM
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
LIM
2 - 1
ARC
73%
16%
11%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
QUB
3 - 3
LIM
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
LIM
0 - 3
RRF
82%
12%
6%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
LIM
0 - 1
GLE
21%
20%
59%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
LIS
3 - 1
WAR
17%
23%
60%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
POR
1 - 1
LIS
22%
20%
58%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
LIS
0 - 0
ARC
46%
23%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
RRF
2 - 4
LIS
9%
13%
79%
|
41 | 13 | 28 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LIS
2 - 1
PSN
74%
15%
12%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |