Limavady vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
8º
4º
27
6º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 48% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 52% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Limavady
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
LIM
3 - 1
PSN
84%
11%
5%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
ARC
0 - 3
LIM
35%
25%
41%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BRF
3 - 0
LIM
58%
21%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LIM
1 - 2
BAN
33%
23%
44%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
LIM
1 - 2
TOB
84%
11%
4%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
LIS
0 - 5
BAN
13%
19%
68%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LIS
0 - 3
BAN
28%
24%
48%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LIS
1 - 4
ARC
41%
25%
35%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
BRF
2 - 2
LIS
70%
17%
12%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LIS
1 - 0
MOY
37%
24%
39%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |