Limavady vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Limavady
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
LIM
2 - 0
MOY
65%
20%
16%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
DON
0 - 5
LIM
23%
23%
55%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
LIS
0 - 5
LIM
21%
22%
57%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
BAN
0 - 3
LIM
28%
24%
48%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
LIM
0 - 2
DUN
67%
18%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
LIS
2 - 3
NEY
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
LIS
0 - 5
LIM
21%
22%
57%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
LIS
0 - 2
MOY
40%
24%
36%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
LIS
2 - 3
SYL
43%
23%
35%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
LIS
2 - 1
BAN
34%
23%
44%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |